International Human and Environmental Rights Campaigner.
Monday, 22 October 2012
Intelligence on President Kibaki of Kenya
President Kibaki’s has pulled the rug under the feet of Western and European countries for a number of reasons which intelligence analysts depict as economic-political.
Kibaki has ensured his country has put a tight lid on Western investors direct foreign investment plans making it impossible for the West to make headway in the country.
The Kenyan presidency hardly engages in any bilateral, diplomatic, and military cooperation talks with European and American diplomats anymore leaving the lesser and keenly audited office of the Prime Minister to deal with the Americans and Europeans.
French Ambassador complained to the French government and the Kenyan foreign ministry about the unavailability of the president. Much diplomatic efforts are burdened to the foreign ministry.
French ambassador to Kenya Etienne de Poncins postulates that it is virtually impossible to reach the president of the republic of Kenya.
President Kibaki is gradually growing tired of Western influence in Kenyan politics. It is certain that events that preceded the 2007-2008 elections violence and the outcome of Western and European political efforts to find a political solution to Kenya rather consummated to the ICC trials of Kibaki’s key allies.
Why would the president snub diplomats whereas they represent the interests and close ties of the countries they represent? There are two key pointers to such outcomes and both are political with a bias on socio-economics of Kenya.
Politically, the president has realized the West and European has no love for him rather closely monitoring his political gains with the aim of destabilizing his tenure and the future of his economic gains besides any form of leadership he will leave behind to inherit his unique achievements in Kenya.
For a long time, European non governmental organizations have played an active role in shaping the socio-political sphere thus increasing their influence among local communities. The outcome of this influence is the increased dependence of Western and European governments spies on these NGO’s.
ICC Prosecutor evidence on the PEV is dependent solely on NGO findings and other forms of firsthand reports obtained through NGO platforms on the 2007-2008 events making NGO’s are a real threat to Kenya’s national security.
Another political reason is the close knit relation between the European and American diplomats with Kibaki’s prime minister Raila Odinga who the intelligence community views as a stooge of the West and Europeans. If Kibaki gives these diplomats audience, it is like giving Odinga audience and leeway to have his way in the politik.
Intelligence reports show that British, American, and French diplomats, European Union, besides Nordic countries envoys have constantly sought audience with the president but on all occasions their agenda had little economic significance rather full of politically inclined suppositions irking the president.
The recent international community foray about the general elections date and Kibaki’s posture on the same exposed a rift between the Kenyan presidency and the International community.
Kibaki in his view finds the West and Europe as nosy, conspirators, and jealous of his development initiatives hence has elevated his position from one who gives audience to ‘petty people with petty issues’ to that of an astute leader ready to take Kenya to economic prosperity.
Kibaki has left the role of diplomacy to his foreign ministry and before he gives audience with these diplomats, the foreign ministry must vet them to avoid the president being engaged in a diplomatic talk of no economic value rather full of political jibe.
The election date fuss and recent evidence showing foreign hand in the ICC case against some of his key allies, indicate there is a cold war in the diplomatic theater between the Kibaki regime and the European countries.
In the intelligence community view, ICC under very good tutor-age is monitoring the political issues in Kenya with the intentions of disrupting the elections and ensuring the suspect Uhuru Kenyatta is cornered. Every ICC announcement coincides with a Kenyan political development.
Kibaki has used the Eastern countries beside engaging the BRICK countries to engage the country in real economic and military development.
In a reverse gear, Kibaki has used Odinga’s previous communist doctrines to rally support, but in his strategy, Kibaki has not engaged subversive activity, rather communist economic-military development concessions. These efforts have massively paid off. On the ground, most middle class Kenyan’s are now worried about post Kibaki era, besides wishing he could stay a-bit longer.
China has offered Kenya an economic lifeline with Russia opening a floodgate of military capability opportunities for Kenya. Russia is offering Kenya latest military technology .
Odinga who now embraces Western diplomacy is fiddling politically, making many political blunders and getting increasingly isolated by the middle class who find his Western-European friends as ill bent or rather Greeks bearing gifts.
Indeed, European-American efforts to stymie Kenyan political tradition is not getting headway, events playing out show Kibaki’s NSIS, the intelligence outfit of Kenya, has set in motion military-economic strategies (regional cooperation, bilateral agreements and massive inter-country infrastructure-energy concessions/projects to economically unite regions in a symbiotic relation) that have very well pulled the rug under the feet of the European-American efforts.
Kibaki has written on the wall, that when he leaves office, the West will find institutions and regional ties that they will not be able to shake and make use of to their benefit.